Snafu betting parlor: Most Likable Mod

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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Valhallen » Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:53 pm

All right, no more betting or changes to bets. Feel free to discuss stuff though.

Rough Giraffe wrote:Are we betting against odds or is it a 1:1 payout?
All bets on a given issue are put in a pool, which is split among the winners proportionally to how much each bet. For example, if three people bet on a coin toss, and person A bets 2 on heads, person B bets 2 on tails, and person C bets 1 on each, the pool is 6. If the coin lands heads, person A gets 4 and person C gets 2. If it lands on edge, the house gets 6.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Calek » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:02 pm

What if someone bets the edge
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Icha » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:24 pm

I bet the green/libertarian parties get at least 5% for anything, hahahaha (I've only got 3 internets on me)
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Whatis6times9 » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:26 pm

I was going to go all in with record allegations of polling place misconduct.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Valhallen » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:34 pm

Calek wrote:What if someone bets the edge
No one did in that example, but it would have been a valid bet. There have been some "edge-like" bets here though, like George Bush winning.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Valhallen » Tue Nov 06, 2012 3:14 pm

Here is the situation as of now:

US Presidential election:
Pool 1: Electoral College - 550,218 (+ Millo's) Internets
  • Obama wins: Valhallen 10; Sir Soulchild 44; DaCrum 40; Love.Dreamer 550,000; Marquis de Soth 25; NeoWarrior7 50; Mir@k 10; Asmodai 10; birdofterror 1; Morpheus 28
  • Romney wins: Sir Soulchild 12; Rough Giraffe 30
  • George Bush wins: Millo (all his Internets, waiting on appraisal from BR)
Pool 2: Popular vote - 45 Internets
  • Obama wins: Marquis de Soth 15; NeoWarrior7 20; Mir@k 5
  • Romney wins: Valhallen 5
Lonely bets:
  • Most blacks will vote for Obama while most whites will vote for Romney: Sir Soulchild 100,000
  • There will be riots over the results: Sir Soulchild 2,300,000,000,000
  • Obama wins the popular vote but "almost loses" the Electoral College vote: Millo 500
  • The next South Park episode will feature Mitt Romney: Millo 20
  • Romney will win Florida, but only due to GOP voter suppression: Millo 10
  • The winner's fly will be unzipped at his victory speech: narutodesu 69
  • Democrats suspiciously find at least 5,000 ballots in each of 3+ states they were losing at the time: Rough Giraffe 100

US Congressional elections:
Pool 3: House Majority - 230 Internets
  • Democrats take: Sir Soulchild 100; DaCrum 100
  • Republicans keep: Valhallen 20; NeoWarrior7 10
Pool 4: Senate Majority - 395 Internets
  • Democrats keep: Valhallen 15; NeoWarrior7 10
  • Republicans take: Sir Soulchild 270
  • Split: DaCrum 100

Other lonely bets:
  • Proposition 30 passes: DaCrum 15
  • Proposition 37 passes: DaCrum 15

Items confiscated:
  • $1,000,000 from narutodesu
  • 10 Stuffs from Senel
  • 4 hostages from Blood Lord
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby EagleMan » Tue Nov 06, 2012 3:23 pm

I hope Prop 37 passes. Prop 30 I voted against. California props are messed up, there's way too many good ideas on there I had to vote against because of ballot box budgeting.

Even though betting is closed, seeing as how Internets are worthless, I bet all my Internets on Obama. Currently there's about a 90% chance of him winning according to FiveThirtyEight, which is quite the surge from recently. Let's see how voter turnout affects that though. But I couldn't morally bring myself to vote for Obama from a civil libertarian perspective. I was still divided until today. And both parties are for big government but Republicans would spend even more on the military which I can't condone. Johnson 2012.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby BeeAre » Tue Nov 06, 2012 3:32 pm

i abstain from this entire debacle for the remainder of the next, oh, i dunno 48 hours, and HOPE (gahahahaha) not to hear who wins this stupid thing until tomorrow. So I will be scarce, except through by email.

until the people of the USA start yelling about congress and call them out on the innumerable scandals that go on to usher in a goddamn reform of the whole fucking two party system by which laws can be implemented or not, this presidential election is honestly posturing for dictatorial privileges, since presidential power has been, to the best of my knowledge, expanded by most of if not outright all presidents since FDR or shit, even earlier.

so my wager: BR's hopes that no one talks to him about this, because he'll be busy trying to talk to Dave tonight about fixing this forum, his stupid company, and our stupid friendly pedo-for-hire Bleedman.

I'm low on my vicodin. Anyone want to ship me some? Then I'll gladly get into your betting pool. Because I'll be zarked off enough not to give any shits. Literally. -_-
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby DaCrum » Tue Nov 06, 2012 5:09 pm

Don't vote no on 30! That kills me! :< if it doesn't pass there are automatic trigger cuts to education! and if it passes, I get $250!
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Valhallen » Wed Nov 07, 2012 4:01 am

I'll be updating this post as further results come in. One announcement though: BR declined to appraise the value of "all of" Millo's Internets, so I'll assign a value of zero. Nonetheless, Millo has bet all of his Internets, so he will have only his winnings for future bets unless someone wants to be generous.

US Presidential election:
Pool 1: Electoral College - 550,218 Internets, 1 fractional Internet claimed by house
  • Obama wins: Valhallen 10; Sir Soulchild 44; DaCrum 40; Love.Dreamer 550,000; Marquis de Soth 25; NeoWarrior7 50; Mir@k 10; Asmodai 10; birdofterror 1; Morpheus 28 (PAYOUT IS 91,703 : 91,696)
  • Romney wins: Sir Soulchild 12; Rough Giraffe 30
  • George Bush wins: Millo 0
Pool 2: Popular vote - 45 Internets, 2 fractional Internets claimed by house
  • Obama wins: Marquis de Soth 15; NeoWarrior7 20; Mir@k 5 (PAYOUT IS 9 : 8)
  • Romney wins: Valhallen 5
Lonely bets: 2,300,000,000,699 Internets claimed by house
  • Most blacks will vote for Obama while most whites will vote for Romney: Sir Soulchild 100,000
  • There will be riots over the results: Sir Soulchild 2,300,000,000,000
  • Obama wins the popular vote but "almost loses" the Electoral College vote: Millo 500
  • The next South Park episode will feature Mitt Romney: Millo 20
  • Romney will win Florida, but only due to GOP voter suppression: Millo 10
  • The winner's fly will be unzipped at his victory speech: narutodesu 69
  • Democrats suspiciously find at least 5,000 ballots in each of 3+ states they were losing at the time: Rough Giraffe 100

US Congressional elections:
Pool 3: House Majority - 230 Internets, 1 fractional Internet claimed by house
  • Democrats take: Sir Soulchild 100; DaCrum 100
  • Republicans keep: Valhallen 20; NeoWarrior7 10 (PAYOUT IS 23 : 3)
Pool 4: Senate Majority - 395 Internets
  • Democrats keep: Valhallen 15; NeoWarrior7 10 (PAYOUT IS 79 : 5)
  • Republicans take: Sir Soulchild 270
  • Split: DaCrum 100

Other lonely bets: 15 Internets claimed by house
  • Proposition 30 passes: DaCrum 15
  • Proposition 37 passes: DaCrum 15

Items confiscated:
  • $1,000,000 from narutodesu
  • 10 Stuffs from Senel
  • 4 hostages from Blood Lord

Name: Internets won / Internets bet +/- gain / loss (numbers in parentheses are tentative)
    Asmodai: 10/10 =
    birdofterror: 1/1 =
    DaCrum: 55/270 -215
    Love.Dreamer: 550,041/550,000 +41
    Marquis de Soth: 41/40 +1
    Millo: 0/530 -530
    Mir@k: 15/15 =
    Morpheus: 28/28 =
    narutodesu: 0/69 -69
    NeoWarrior7: 306/90 +216
    Rough Giraffe: 0/130 -130
    Sir Soulchild: 100,044/2,300,000,100,426 -2,300,000,000,382
    Valhallen: 400/50 +350

    Lost bets / fractional Internets claimed by house: 2,300,000,000,718

Top winners (Internets gained):
  1. Valhallen 350
  2. NeoWarrior7 216
  3. LoveDreamer 41

Top betters (return on investment):
  1. Valhallen 800%
  2. NeoWarrior7 340%
  3. Marquis de Soth 2.5%
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby NeoWarrior7 » Wed Nov 07, 2012 5:58 am

And that my friends, is why you always listen to what Valhallen is betting.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Marquis de Soth » Wed Nov 07, 2012 8:07 am

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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Saint Soul » Wed Nov 07, 2012 9:11 am

what i have lost is but a drop in the bucket.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Rough Giraffe » Wed Nov 07, 2012 9:18 am

In terms of Internets, yes.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Mir@k » Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:00 pm

Oh i won a bet. First time ever, is this a sign or something? =O
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Grey » Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:16 pm

keep gaming

it means gambling

keep gambling
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Love.Dreamer » Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:21 pm

im rich, cool.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Whatis6times9 » Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:25 pm

You were already rich, you only won 41.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Love.Dreamer » Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:28 pm

I wouldn't be if i had lost and then others would be slightly rich.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby narutodesu » Wed Nov 07, 2012 2:58 pm

Alright this is a hold up! Just do as I say and no one will get hurt!
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Blood Lord » Wed Nov 07, 2012 2:58 pm

Fuck.
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Fievel - Numerous campaigns and conquests, countless bodies decaying after the abandonment of victorious battlefields. Such is the life of Blood Lord.
Dusk_Imp - Blood Lord is like a celebrity here. Everything he does is pure awesome. ALL HAIL BLOOD LORD
Doctress Who - Why couldn't there be a Blood Lord in every forum? It would make life so much easier.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Millo » Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:07 pm

Gosh do i suck at gambling
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby NeoWarrior7 » Wed Nov 07, 2012 4:48 pm

I'm still not sure how Soulchild has 2.3 trillion internets. I thought that was more than the entire Snafu economy.
I call hax.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby BeeAre » Wed Nov 07, 2012 4:51 pm

If it makes you feel any better Millo I'll post-op validate your internet values at a fixed 150 with a 3.2% quarter-annual interest stipulation.

Surely at some point on a logarithmic scale holding onto your internets you'll become wealthier.
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Re: Snafu betting parlor: Election 2012

Postby Marquis de Soth » Wed Nov 07, 2012 5:15 pm

NeoWarrior7 wrote:I'm still not sure how Soulchild has 2.3 trillion internets. I thought that was more than the entire Snafu economy.
I call hax.


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